Modelling Household Car Ownership in the Gulf States: The Case of Kuwait
It is proposed that data at household level give the most suitable quantitative and qualitative variables for studies of car ownership in Kuwait.
It is proposed that data at household level give the most suitable quantitative and qualitative variables for studies of car ownership in Kuwait.
The authors present a model which produces simultaneous forecasts of car holding, new car purchase and scrappage. All are sensitive to changes in income and prices. Potential car holders are individuals aged between 18 and 75.
This paper abandons the conventional reliance on household statistics, and uses as the primary dependent variable the propensity for entry to and exit from car ownership of individuals, segregated by age and sex.